3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,308 sqft ·
Built 1939
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 281 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,468/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,044
Tax + insurance
−$211
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$308
Net cashflow
$-94/mo
Annual
$-1,129/yr
Cap rate
5.73%
Cash-on-cash
-2.03%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$55,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-94 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $182k (8.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $147k (26.2% below list).
It's been on market 281 days — a 12% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $147k (26.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#24 in LA, #4,535 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime F, employment D-.
East Baton Rouge Parish (urban): math 22% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #47 of 98 in LA (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: The Dufrocq School (math 25% / reading 41%, grade F, #297 of 646 statewide, top 46%, 488 students, 72% FRL); Westdale Middle School (math 15% / reading 30%, grade F, #151 of 218 statewide, top 70%, 757 students, 69% FRL); Liberty High School (math 50% / reading 74%, grade B-, #15 of 265 statewide, top 6%, 1,208 students, 60% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 297 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,252 units permitted in East Baton Rouge Parish in 2024 (440 in 5+ unit buildings).
East Baton Rouge County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
14 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask is 12338% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $39k; list at $199k implies a 411% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 4.2% in Baton Rouge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 281 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BJQKEQDCKTDSVD
· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29