4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,700 sqft ·
Built 1908
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,553/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$697
Tax + insurance
−$205
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$326
Net cashflow
$325/mo
Annual
$3,896/yr
Cap rate
9.22%
Cash-on-cash
10.46%
DSCR
1.47
1% rule
1.17%
Cash to close
$37,240
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $133k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $325 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $133k).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $131k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $920 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#312 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Cadillac Area Public Schools (town): math 45% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #120 of 540 in MI (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1908 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 225 active listings in the ZIP; 130 units permitted in Wexford County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wexford County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $78k; list at $133k implies a 71% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 3.2% in Cadillac — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1908 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BJTB9EF8KGFCF4
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29