3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
576 sqft ·
Built 1985
· Manufactured
· Active
· 27 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,411/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$624
Tax + insurance
−$208
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$296
Net cashflow
$283/mo
Annual
$3,396/yr
Cap rate
10.41%
Cash-on-cash
14.70%
DSCR
1.65
1% rule
1.19%
Cash to close
$33,320
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $119k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $283 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $119k).
It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($117k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $117k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#235 in MS) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, amenities F.
South Panola School District (town): math 31% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #65 of 130 in MS (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Panola County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Panola County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BK7JN169PE4696
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29