3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,865 sqft ·
Built 1993
· Condo
· Pending
· 11 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,325/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$682
Tax + insurance
−$112
HOA
−$1,060
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$488
Net cashflow
$-17/mo
Annual
$-206/yr
Cap rate
6.13%
Cash-on-cash
-0.57%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
1.79%
Cash to close
$36,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $130k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-17 ($-206/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 90/100 on livability (#4 in OR, #108 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D.
North Clackamas SD 12 (suburban): math 29% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #22 of 58 in OR (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Lewelling Elementary School (math 30% / reading 30%, grade F, #256 of 412 statewide, top 63%, 298 students, 74% FRL); Rowe Middle School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #124 of 128 statewide, top 98%, 722 students, 70% FRL); Milwaukie High School (904 students, 93% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 34% district-wide (44 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: HOA is 46% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 140 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 946 units permitted in Clackamas County in 2024 (188 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clackamas County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 2.9% in Milwaukie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BM3ARJ5DDM1GZZ
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29