None bd · None ba ·
4,004 sqft ·
Built 2025
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 287 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,130/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,753
Tax + insurance
−$875
HOA
−$85
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,287
Net cashflow
$1,130/mo
Annual
$13,555/yr
Cap rate
8.87%
Cash-on-cash
9.22%
DSCR
1.41
1% rule
1.17%
Cash to close
$147,000
Investor read
This is a 4 × 3-bed/2-bath units multifamily listed at $525k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $282/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $525k).
It's been on market 287 days — a 12% lower offer ($462k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $462k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#119 in TX, #3,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Mcallen ISD (urban): math 34% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #440 of 826 in TX (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 888 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.7% in McAllen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $6,130/mo this rent would consume 90% of the median local household income ($82k/yr) (locally 1468% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 287 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BMF3DM5543X159
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29