4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,174 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,251/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$865
Tax + insurance
−$175
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$263
Net cashflow
$-52/mo
Annual
$-625/yr
Cap rate
5.91%
Cash-on-cash
-1.35%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$46,172
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $165k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-52 ($-625/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $156k (5.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $125k (24.2% below list).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $125k (24.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (3.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 54/100 on livability (#460 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
Bullock County (town): math 18% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #130 of 133 in AL (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Union Springs Elementary School (math 0% / reading 19%, grade F, #568 of 627 statewide, top 94%, 527 students, 67% FRL); South Highlands Middle School (math 0% / reading 13%, grade F, #249 of 257 statewide, top 98%, 424 students, 81% FRL); Bullock County High School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #248 of 305 statewide, top 82%, 446 students, 82% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP.
Bullock County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (3.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BNXEP33BJ0XEHK
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29