2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,875 sqft ·
Built 1912
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,049/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$498
Tax + insurance
−$297
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$220
Net cashflow
$33/mo
Annual
$398/yr
Cap rate
6.71%
Cash-on-cash
1.50%
DSCR
1.07
1% rule
1.10%
Cash to close
$26,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $33 ($398/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $94k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (5.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#612 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Edwardsville CUSD 7 (suburban): math 39% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #142 of 620 in IL (top 23%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Edwardsville High School (math 40% / reading 45%, grade F, #73 of 693 statewide, top 11%, 2,354 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 16% district-wide (16 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price; built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 336 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Madison County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (5.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29