3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
2,857 sqft ·
Built 2000
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,779/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,547
Tax + insurance
−$598
HOA
−$21
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$584
Net cashflow
$30/mo
Annual
$358/yr
Cap rate
7.03%
Cash-on-cash
2.64%
DSCR
1.12
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$82,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $295k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $30 ($358/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $278k (5.8% below list).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $278k (5.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Perry Township Schools (urban): math 36% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #138 of 301 in IN (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Abraham Lincoln Elementary School (math 36% / reading 35%, grade F, #584 of 994 statewide, top 59%, 897 students, 79% FRL); Perry Meridian Middle School (math 33% / reading 51%, grade D-, #102 of 330 statewide, top 32%, 1,292 students, 66% FRL); Perry Meridian High School (math 34% / reading 64%, grade D, #136 of 369 statewide, top 37%, 2,350 students, 58% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $152/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 213 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,906 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marion County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AH (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 4.4% in Indianapolis city (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($92k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BP6G9TC62SX9FF
· Data 23 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29