3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,850 sqft ·
Built 1999
· Other
· Pending
· 91 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,921/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,668
Tax + insurance
−$559
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$613
Net cashflow
$81/mo
Annual
$974/yr
Cap rate
6.60%
Cash-on-cash
1.09%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$89,040
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath other listed at $318k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $81 ($974/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $292k (8.1% below list).
It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($289k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $289k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#153 in IL, #2,772 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: amenities C-, health & safety C-.
Plainfield SD 202 (suburban): math 25% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #213 of 620 in IL (top 34%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Meadow View Elementary School (math 13% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,141 of 2,056 statewide, top 59%, 579 students, 0% FRL); Aux Sable Middle Sch (math 18% / reading 32%, grade F, #327 of 665 statewide, top 50%, 855 students, 0% FRL); Plainfield South High School (math 21% / reading 25%, grade F, #312 of 693 statewide, top 46%, 2,411 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 17% district-wide (17 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,028 units permitted in Will County in 2024 (530 in 5+ unit buildings).
Will County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $53k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.8% in Joliet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BPJK9M39BNSVZK
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29