3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,344 sqft ·
Built 2004
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,179/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$359
Tax + insurance
−$114
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$248
Net cashflow
$458/mo
Annual
$5,498/yr
Cap rate
14.32%
Cash-on-cash
28.67%
DSCR
2.28
1% rule
1.72%
Cash to close
$19,180
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $68k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $458 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $67k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $474 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#2 in WY, #947 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D.
Laramie County School District #1 (urban): math 41% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #33 of 41 in WY (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Baggs Elementary (math 37% / reading 52%, grade F, #103 of 151 statewide, top 73%, 324 students, 60% FRL); Carey Junior High School (math 43% / reading 50%, grade D+, #39 of 55 statewide, top 70%, 861 students, 38% FRL); East High School (math 43% / reading 43%, grade F, #46 of 75 statewide, top 61%, 1,513 students, 30% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 262 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 485 units permitted in Laramie County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Laramie County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.2% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 14.3% vs local median 3.1% in Cheyenne — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BPQYG4C10ARZQN
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29