3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,202 sqft ·
Built 1947
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,501/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,516
Tax + insurance
−$641
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$315
Net cashflow
$-970/mo
Annual
$-11,640/yr
Cap rate
2.27%
Cash-on-cash
-14.38%
DSCR
0.36
1% rule
0.52%
Cash to close
$80,920
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $289k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-970 ($-12k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $125k (56.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (48.0% below list).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $125k (56.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#34 in MI, #643 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F.
Grosse Pointe Public Schools (suburban): math 56% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #24 of 540 in MI (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: John Monteith Elementary School (math 57% / reading 52%, grade C, #276 of 1,397 statewide, top 22%, 477 students, 26% FRL); Parcells Middle School (math 43% / reading 56%, grade C, #127 of 493 statewide, top 26%, 677 students, 36% FRL); Grosse Pointe North High School (math 45% / reading 73%, grade C+, #87 of 713 statewide, top 12%, 1,081 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools average 31% FRL vs 13% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 162 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
8 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 2.3% vs local median 3.0% in Grosse Pointe Woods — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
CashFlowRE · CFR-BPYD912JQAKBG2
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29