3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,256 sqft ·
Built 2017
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 49 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,223/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,757
Tax + insurance
−$558
HOA
−$125
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$467
Net cashflow
$-684/mo
Annual
$-8,208/yr
Cap rate
3.84%
Cash-on-cash
-8.75%
DSCR
0.61
1% rule
0.66%
Cash to close
$93,786
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $335k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-684 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $236k (29.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $222k (33.6% below list).
It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($325k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $222k (33.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#49 in AK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F, amenities F.
Fairbanks North Star Borough School District (urban): math 33% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #10 of 21 in AK (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Ticasuk Brown Elementary (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #128 of 156 statewide, top 86%, 397 students, 41% FRL); North Pole Middle School (math 25% / reading 45%, grade F, #21 of 36 statewide, top 57%, 531 students, 39% FRL); North Pole High School (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #33 of 61 statewide, top 57%, 617 students, 29% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 480 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1 units permitted in Fairbanks North Star Borough in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fairbanks North Star County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BPYHEDADSFJ1KW
· Data 1 month agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29