3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,216 sqft ·
Built 2021
· Manufactured
· Active
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,090/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$307
Tax + insurance
−$137
HOA
−$555
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$439
Net cashflow
$652/mo
Annual
$7,823/yr
Cap rate
19.67%
Cash-on-cash
47.76%
DSCR
3.13
1% rule
3.57%
Cash to close
$16,380
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $58k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $652 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $58k).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $58k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-1.3%/yr); year-one equity from $404 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $742 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#1,438 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
Mars Area SD (rural): math 58% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #24 of 539 in PA (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: HOA is 27% of rent.
Market conditions: 48 active listings in the ZIP; 987 units permitted in Butler County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Butler County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-1.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BQ90S10RC922WT
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29