2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
943 sqft ·
Built 1950
· Condo
· Active
· 35 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,728/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$970
Tax + insurance
−$258
HOA
−$363
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$363
Net cashflow
$-226/mo
Annual
$-2,713/yr
Cap rate
4.83%
Cash-on-cash
-5.24%
DSCR
0.77
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$51,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $185k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-226 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $145k (21.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $173k (6.6% below list).
It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $145k (21.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#6 in MO, #689 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living B; Watch: crime C-.
Brentwood (suburban): math 65% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #4 of 324 in MO (top 1%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Mcgrath Elem. (math 67% / reading 67%, grade B+, #46 of 1,115 statewide, top 5%, 195 students, 16% FRL); Brentwood High (math 62% / reading 74%, grade B, #12 of 521 statewide, top 2%, 191 students, 30% FRL) — zoned schools at 23% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 128 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
8 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29