64 bd · 64.0 ba ·
3,600 sqft ·
Built 1960
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 331 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$20,345/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$7,080
Tax + insurance
−$1,515
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$4,272
Net cashflow
$7,478/mo
Annual
$89,735/yr
Cap rate
12.94%
Cash-on-cash
23.74%
DSCR
2.06
1% rule
1.51%
Cash to close
$378,000
Investor read
This is a 8 × 4-bed/8.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.35M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $7k ($90k/yr) — positive. Per door: $935/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($20k rent vs $1.35M).
It's been on market 331 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.19M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.19M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $9k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $40k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#371 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, cost of living F.
Lake Tahoe Unified (town): math 33% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #786 of 1,400 in CA (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Tahoe Valley Elementary (414 students, 57% FRL); South Tahoe Middle (798 students, 52% FRL); South Tahoe High (1,141 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 316 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 437 units permitted in El Dorado County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
El Dorado County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
7 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $950k; 42% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $378k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 2.6% in South Lake Tahoe — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $20,345/mo this rent would consume 264% of the median local household income ($93k/yr) (locally 1109% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 331 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29