2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
600 sqft ·
Built 2013
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$575/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,175
Tax + insurance
−$167
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$121
Net cashflow
$-888/mo
Annual
$-10,653/yr
Cap rate
1.54%
Cash-on-cash
-16.98%
DSCR
0.24
1% rule
0.26%
Cash to close
$62,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $224k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-888 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $67k (70.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $58k (74.3% below list).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($217k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $58k (74.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#134 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Sweetwater (rural): math 25% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #94 of 139 in TN (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Sweetwater Elementary (math 40% / reading 35%, grade F, #269 of 952 statewide, top 28%, 299 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 61% district-wide (61 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 38% at this address vs 24% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Sweetwater average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: 141 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 157 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
6 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $102k; list at $224k implies a 121% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 1.5% vs local median 4.1% in Sweetwater — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 74% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29