24 bd · None ba ·
4,392 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 43 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$12,567/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,645
Tax + insurance
−$1,158
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,639
Net cashflow
$5,125/mo
Annual
$61,499/yr
Cap rate
15.14%
Cash-on-cash
31.60%
DSCR
2.41
1% rule
1.81%
Cash to close
$194,600
Investor read
This is a 4×4bd/?ba + 2×?bd/?ba units multifamily listed at $695k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($61k/yr) — positive. Per door: $854/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($13k rent vs $695k).
It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($674k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $674k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#71 in PA, #498 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-.
Lancaster SD (urban): math 12% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #500 of 539 in PA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Ross El Sch (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,049 of 1,518 statewide, top 71%, 283 students, 100% FRL); Mccaskey Campus (math 50% / reading 34%, grade F, #230 of 437 statewide, top 53%, 2,620 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools average 94% FRL vs 72% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 38% at this address vs 18% district-wide (+20 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Lancaster SD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 163 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,093 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lancaster County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $295k; list at $695k implies a 136% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.2% rent growth), your $195k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 15.1% vs local median 4.0% in Lancaster — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BR5ZHA5F13QZYS
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29