3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,165 sqft ·
Built 1992
· Condo
· Pending
· 10 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,454/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,285
Tax + insurance
−$309
HOA
−$365
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$515
Net cashflow
$-20/mo
Annual
$-244/yr
Cap rate
6.19%
Cash-on-cash
-0.36%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
1.00%
Cash to close
$68,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $245k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-20 ($-244/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $241k (1.5% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $245k).
Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $241k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#286 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
Imperial Unified (suburban): math 21% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #281 of 517 in CA (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 119 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 271 units permitted in Imperial County in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
Imperial County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $138k; list at $245k implies a 77% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.9% in Imperial — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($91k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BRMJP835Y8GQTS
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29