3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,144 sqft ·
Built 1958
· Other
· Active
· 7 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,691/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,206
Tax + insurance
−$383
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$355
Net cashflow
$-253/mo
Annual
$-3,030/yr
Cap rate
4.97%
Cash-on-cash
-4.71%
DSCR
0.79
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$64,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $230k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-253 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $193k (15.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $169k (26.4% below list).
Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $169k (26.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $25k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $23k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#312 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Marshall County (rural): math 29% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #73 of 165 in KY (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Central Elementary School (math 45% / reading 40%, grade F, #169 of 676 statewide, top 26%, 487 students, 48% FRL); North Marshall Middle School (math 31% / reading 44%, grade F, #73 of 217 statewide, top 36%, 497 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools at 47% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 178 active listings in the ZIP; 121 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marshall County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $98k; list at $230k implies a 135% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 3.4% in Calvert City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BRX8VWE061AF75
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29