3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,000 sqft ·
Built 2005
· Manufactured
· Active
· 32 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,023/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$576
Tax + insurance
−$165
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$635
Net cashflow
$1,647/mo
Annual
$19,760/yr
Cap rate
24.27%
Cash-on-cash
64.21%
DSCR
3.86
1% rule
2.75%
Cash to close
$30,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $110k).
It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Pennsbury SD (suburban): math 46% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #67 of 539 in PA (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Pennsbury Hs (math 67% / reading 75%, grade B+, #41 of 437 statewide, top 10%, 2,865 students, 30% FRL) — zoned schools average 30% FRL vs 15% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 71% at this address vs 58% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Pennsbury SD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 168 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 663 units permitted in Bucks County in 2024 (106 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bucks County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BSC4E4DKQ2GF81
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29