2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
950 sqft ·
Built 1954
· Condo
· Pending
· 28 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,893/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,835
Tax + insurance
−$583
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$818
Net cashflow
$657/mo
Annual
$7,885/yr
Cap rate
8.55%
Cash-on-cash
8.05%
DSCR
1.36
1% rule
1.11%
Cash to close
$98,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $350k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $657 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $350k).
It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($345k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $345k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#329 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Dobbs Ferry Union Free School District (suburban): math 66% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #80 of 590 in NY (top 14%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Springhurst Elementary School (math 59% / reading 76%, grade B+, #524 of 2,108 statewide, top 25%, 695 students, 13% FRL); Dobbs Ferry Middle School (math 60% / reading 79%, grade A, #89 of 729 statewide, top 12%, 365 students, 15% FRL); Dobbs Ferry High School (math 98%, 455 students, 22% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 64 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 2.3% in Dobbs Ferry — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BSFWX327JKYCS8
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29