2 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,370 sqft ·
Built 2004
· Townhouse
· Under Contract
· 126 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,980/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,337
Tax + insurance
−$305
HOA
−$140
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$416
Net cashflow
$-218/mo
Annual
$-2,617/yr
Cap rate
5.27%
Cash-on-cash
-3.67%
DSCR
0.84
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$71,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $255k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-218 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $216k (15.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $198k (22.3% below list).
It's been on market 126 days — a 12% lower offer ($224k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $198k (22.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#152 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D+, crime F, commute F.
Paulding County (suburban): math 39% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #33 of 174 in GA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Hiram Elementary School (math 26% / reading 31%, grade F, #668 of 1,228 statewide, top 55%, 816 students, 61% FRL); P. B. Ritch Middle School (math 29% / reading 42%, grade F, #185 of 470 statewide, top 40%, 755 students, 60% FRL); East Paulding High School (math 11% / reading 31%, grade F, #225 of 424 statewide, top 54%, 1,905 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 53% FRL vs 33% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 28% at this address vs 40% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Paulding County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 239 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,458 units permitted in Paulding County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Paulding County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.8% in Hiram — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 126 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29