2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,798 sqft ·
Built 1913
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 138 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,480/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$970
Tax + insurance
−$221
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$311
Net cashflow
$-23/mo
Annual
$-270/yr
Cap rate
6.15%
Cash-on-cash
-0.52%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$51,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-23 ($-270/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $181k (2.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $148k (20.0% below list).
It's been on market 138 days — a 12% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $148k (20.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#482 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Rowan-Salisbury Schools (rural): math 26% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #142 of 178 in NC (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: North Rowan Elementary (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,242 of 1,410 statewide, top 90%, 426 students, 92% FRL); North Rowan High (math 2% / reading 37%, grade F, #492 of 535 statewide, top 93%, 589 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 54% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1913 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 592 units permitted in Rowan County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rowan County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
6 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $82k; list at $185k implies a 124% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 138 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1913 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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