1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,152 sqft ·
Built 1989
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 253 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$942/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$420
Tax + insurance
−$314
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$198
Net cashflow
$11/mo
Annual
$133/yr
Cap rate
8.34%
Cash-on-cash
7.30%
DSCR
1.32
1% rule
1.18%
Cash to close
$22,400
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $11 ($133/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($942 rent vs $80k).
It's been on market 253 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#383 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
Marais Des Cygnes Valley (rural): math 35% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #173 of 280 in KS (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 49 units permitted in Osage County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Osage County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 253 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BTC2WK9F87PVRX
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29