2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,207 sqft ·
Built 1980
· Condo
· Active
· 687 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,687/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,285
Tax + insurance
−$217
HOA
−$781
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$564
Net cashflow
$-160/mo
Annual
$-1,919/yr
Cap rate
5.51%
Cash-on-cash
-2.80%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
1.10%
Cash to close
$68,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $245k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-160 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $217k (11.5% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $245k).
It's been on market 687 days — a 12% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $216k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#192 in FL, #3,070 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities D, cost of living F.
Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Verde K-8 (math 72% / reading 74%, grade A, #271 of 2,144 statewide, top 13%, 1,296 students, 28% FRL); Boca Raton Community Middle School (math 59% / reading 61%, grade B, #135 of 571 statewide, top 24%, 1,225 students, 41% FRL); West Boca Raton High School (math 55% / reading 70%, grade B-, #93 of 667 statewide, top 14%, 2,271 students, 28% FRL) — zoned schools average 32% FRL vs 52% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 65% at this address vs 50% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Palm Beach average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: HOA is 29% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 436 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
8 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask is 8650% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $155k; list at $245k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 2.7% in Boca Raton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 687 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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