3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,111 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 17 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,920/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$314
Tax + insurance
−$259
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$403
Net cashflow
$944/mo
Annual
$11,326/yr
Cap rate
25.18%
Cash-on-cash
67.47%
DSCR
4.00
1% rule
3.20%
Cash to close
$16,786
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $944 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $59k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#191 in NY, #2,967 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+.
Rensselaer City School District (suburban): math 28% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #574 of 590 in NY (top 97%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Van Rensselaer Elementary School (math 15% / reading 36%, grade F, #1,821 of 2,108 statewide, top 86%, 493 students, 70% FRL); Rensselaer Junior/Senior High School (math 42% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,079 of 1,100 statewide, top 98%, 522 students, 66% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.7% of price; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 102 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 405 units permitted in Rensselaer County in 2024 (224 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rensselaer County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.9% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 25.2% vs local median 5.0% in Rensselaer — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BTW15JDTPRW946
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29