3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,459 sqft ·
Built 2004
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 28 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,501/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,377
Tax + insurance
−$238
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$315
Net cashflow
$-429/mo
Annual
$-5,145/yr
Cap rate
4.33%
Cash-on-cash
-7.00%
DSCR
0.69
1% rule
0.57%
Cash to close
$73,500
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $262k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-429 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $187k (28.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (42.8% below list).
It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($259k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $150k (42.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#120 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Jackson County School District (rural): math 53% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #10 of 130 in MS (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 194 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 516 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.3% vs local median 3.5% in Latimer — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BV2HS575Q7FRMV
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29