1 bd · 2.0 ba ·
639 sqft ·
Built 1927
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 95 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$12,275/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,540
Tax + insurance
−$416
HOA
−$2,450
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,578
Net cashflow
$3,292/mo
Annual
$39,504/yr
Cap rate
12.15%
Cash-on-cash
20.90%
DSCR
1.93
1% rule
1.82%
Cash to close
$189,000
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $675k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($40k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($12k rent vs $675k).
It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($614k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $614k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-1.8%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#474 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, health & safety A; Watch: housing C-, amenities F, commute F.
Montauk Union Free School District (town): math 50% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #311 of 755 in NY (top 41%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Montauk School (math 62% / reading 82%, grade A-, #378 of 2,108 statewide, top 20%, 303 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 21% district-wide (21 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 72% at this address vs 55% district-wide (+17 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Montauk Union Free School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $550k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-1.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $189k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 7.9% in Montauk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $12,275/mo this rent would consume 103% of the median local household income ($143k/yr) (locally 20% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BVFEXKBTF8TYJ4
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29