4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,754 sqft ·
Built 1996
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,200/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,363
Tax + insurance
−$532
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$462
Net cashflow
$-157/mo
Annual
$-1,890/yr
Cap rate
5.57%
Cash-on-cash
-2.60%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$72,800
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $260k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-157 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $232k (10.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $220k (15.4% below list).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $220k (15.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#260 in IL, #4,831 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
Hononegah Chd 207 (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #55 of 620 in IL (top 9%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Hononegah Chd High School (math 46% / reading 53%, grade D, #44 of 693 statewide, top 7%, 1,891 students, 0% FRL).
Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 285 units permitted in Winnebago County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Winnebago County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $155k; list at $260k implies a 68% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 4.0% in South Beloit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BVG71588V11A2E
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29