4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,120 sqft ·
Built 1958
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 324 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,079/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$245
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$227
Net cashflow
$-179/mo
Annual
$-2,149/yr
Cap rate
4.86%
Cash-on-cash
-5.12%
DSCR
0.77
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-179 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $118k (21.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $108k (28.1% below list).
It's been on market 324 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $108k (28.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#366 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime D, amenities F.
Slaton ISD (town): math 25% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #683 of 826 in TX (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,219 units permitted in Lubbock County in 2024 (252 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lubbock County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 324 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29