2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,616 sqft ·
Built 1983
· Other
· Active
· 140 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,900/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,620
Tax + insurance
−$363
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$609
Net cashflow
$308/mo
Annual
$3,693/yr
Cap rate
7.49%
Cash-on-cash
4.27%
DSCR
1.19
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$86,520
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $309k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $308 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $290k (6.1% below list).
It's been on market 140 days — a 12% lower offer ($272k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $272k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 52/100 on livability (#144 in HI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D-, amenities F.
Hawaii Department Of Education (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #1 of 1 in HI (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 387 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 982 units permitted in Hawaii County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hawaii County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
7 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 140 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BW7CB85AS2C0JF
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29