3 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,482 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 144 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,461/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$939
Tax + insurance
−$298
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$307
Net cashflow
$-83/mo
Annual
$-990/yr
Cap rate
5.74%
Cash-on-cash
-1.98%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$50,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $179k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-83 ($-990/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $167k (6.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $146k (18.4% below list).
It's been on market 144 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $146k (18.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#228 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
Jasper City (town): math 27% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #23 of 129 in AL (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: T R Simmons Elementary School (526 students, 52% FRL); Maddox Intermediate School (math 26% / reading 59%, grade D-, #51 of 257 statewide, top 20%, 636 students, 61% FRL); Jasper High School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #118 of 305 statewide, top 45%, 814 students, 53% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 85 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 36 units permitted in Walker County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Walker County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.8% in Jasper — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 144 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: kitchen cabinets
— dated and worn
Moderate: kitchen flooring
— dated and worn
Minor: bathroom fixtures
— small and outdated
Minor: living room carpet
— dated and worn
CashFlowRE · CFR-BW81ST53XTH7HX
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29