5 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,255 sqft ·
Built 1984
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 80 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,368/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,940
Tax + insurance
−$472
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$707
Net cashflow
$248/mo
Annual
$2,980/yr
Cap rate
7.10%
Cash-on-cash
2.88%
DSCR
1.13
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$103,572
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $370k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $248 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $337k (9.0% below list).
It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($348k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $337k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#86 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, schools B+, health & safety B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Fayette County (suburban): math 52% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #7 of 174 in GA (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 372 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 323 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fayette County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
8 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $234k; list at $370k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.4% in Fayetteville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($90k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BXC4PS3BTMAFXT
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29