2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,015 sqft ·
Built 1945
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 303 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,430/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$774
Tax + insurance
−$102
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$300
Net cashflow
$254/mo
Annual
$3,049/yr
Cap rate
8.36%
Cash-on-cash
7.38%
DSCR
1.33
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$41,300
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $148k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $254 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $143k (3.0% below list).
It's been on market 303 days — a 12% lower offer ($130k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $130k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#410 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Stanly County Schools (rural): math 38% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #113 of 178 in NC (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Norwood Elementary (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #975 of 1,410 statewide, top 71%, 342 students, 99% FRL); South Stanly Middle (math 29% / reading 36%, grade F, #312 of 475 statewide, top 66%, 353 students, 56% FRL); South Stanly High (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #311 of 535 statewide, top 60%, 442 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 46% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 101 active listings in the ZIP; 367 units permitted in Stanly County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Stanly County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $57k; list at $148k implies a 160% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 2.9% in Norwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 303 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BXEJM30A3AN4AV
· Data 18 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29