702 NW 4th St

Ogden, IA 50212

$199,900D-

4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,960 sqft · Built 1910 · SingleFamily · Active · 23 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,311/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,048
• Tax + insurance: −$269
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$275
• Net cashflow: $-282/mo
• Annual: $-3,385/yr
• Cap rate: 4.60%
• Cash-on-cash: -6.05%
• DSCR: 0.73
• 1% rule: 0.66%
• Cash to close: $55,972

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $200k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-282 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $150k (24.9% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (34.4% below list).
• It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $131k (34.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 81/100 on livability (#70 in IA, #1,530 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
• Ogden Community School District (rural): math 74% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #61 of 289 in IA (top 21%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Zoned schools: Ogden Elementary School (math 82% / reading 77%, grade A, #71 of 616 statewide, top 15%, 321 students, 25% FRL); Ogden Middle School (math 72% / reading 72%, grade A, #95 of 246 statewide, top 42%, 165 students, 27% FRL); Ogden High School (math 67% / reading 82%, grade B+, #89 of 336 statewide, top 30%, 238 students, 23% FRL).
• Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 80 units permitted in Boone County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
• 5 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $132k; list at $200k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 2.8% in Ogden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.