4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,051 sqft ·
Built 1907
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 100 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,474/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,190
Tax + insurance
−$378
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$730
Net cashflow
$1,176/mo
Annual
$14,109/yr
Cap rate
12.51%
Cash-on-cash
22.20%
DSCR
1.99
1% rule
1.53%
Cash to close
$63,560
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $227k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $588/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $227k).
It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $207k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#129 in NY, #2,083 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
Albany City School District (urban): math 37% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #543 of 590 in NY (top 92%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1907 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 124 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 675 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).
Albany County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 5.7% in Albany — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,474/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($83k/yr) (locally 1704% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1907 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: kitchen cabinets
— outdated and in poor condition
Major: bathroom fixtures
— small and outdated
Minor: paint
— paint appears worn
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· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29