2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
980 sqft ·
Built 1999
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 3 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,552/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$314
Tax + insurance
−$63
HOA
−$600
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$326
Net cashflow
$249/mo
Annual
$2,989/yr
Cap rate
11.28%
Cash-on-cash
17.82%
DSCR
1.79
1% rule
2.59%
Cash to close
$16,772
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $249 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Carlisle Area SD (urban): math 33% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #277 of 539 in PA (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Carlisle Area Hs (math 70% / reading 75%, grade B+, #37 of 437 statewide, top 8%, 1,578 students, 39% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 72% at this address vs 44% district-wide (+28 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Carlisle Area SD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: HOA is 39% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 308 active listings in the ZIP; 1,052 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (310 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cumberland County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask is 100% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $28k; list at $60k implies a 118% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.5% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BZEERVF3M8XP42
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29