2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,140 sqft ·
Built 1968
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 61 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,005/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$577
Tax + insurance
−$338
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$211
Net cashflow
$-121/mo
Annual
$-1,452/yr
Cap rate
4.97%
Cash-on-cash
-4.71%
DSCR
0.79
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$30,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-121 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $89k (19.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $101k (8.6% below list).
It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $89k (19.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $12k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#900 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
Georgetown-South Otselic Central School District (rural): math 40% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #692 of 755 in NY (top 92%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price.
Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 151 units permitted in Chenango County in 2024 (96 in 5+ unit buildings).
Chenango County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
9 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $66k; list at $110k implies a 68% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29