3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,615 sqft ·
Built 1966
· Other
· Pending
· 1329 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,618/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,023
Tax + insurance
−$195
HOA
−$22
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$550
Net cashflow
$829/mo
Annual
$9,944/yr
Cap rate
11.39%
Cash-on-cash
18.21%
DSCR
1.81
1% rule
1.34%
Cash to close
$54,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $195k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $829 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $195k).
It's been on market 1329 days — a 12% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $172k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#109 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Hollister R-V (town): math 40% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #108 of 324 in MO (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Hollister Elem. (math 43% / reading 50%, grade D-, #397 of 1,115 statewide, top 36%, 406 students, 66% FRL); Hollister Middle (math 35% / reading 44%, grade F, #189 of 391 statewide, top 51%, 291 students, 67% FRL); Hollister High (math 42% / reading 57%, grade D, #124 of 521 statewide, top 28%, 447 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools at 62% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 331 units permitted in Taney County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Taney County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $205k (51%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (1.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 2.5% in Hollister — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 1329 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-C1BJND6J366J3E
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29