3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,344 sqft ·
Built 1978
· Manufactured
· Active
· 37 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,958/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,835
Tax + insurance
−$319
HOA
−$60
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$621
Net cashflow
$123/mo
Annual
$1,473/yr
Cap rate
6.71%
Cash-on-cash
1.50%
DSCR
1.07
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$97,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $350k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $123 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $296k (15.5% below list).
It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($339k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $296k (15.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-1.4%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#52 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, amenities A; Watch: crime C-, commute F, cost of living F.
Poudre School District R-1 (urban): math 45% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #10 of 86 in CO (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Bacon Elementary School (math 67% / reading 47%, grade C+, #115 of 966 statewide, top 14%, 420 students, 17% FRL); Preston Middle School (math 53% / reading 59%, grade B-, #22 of 270 statewide, top 9%, 545 students, 18% FRL); Fossil Ridge High School (math 63% / reading 83%, grade B+, #16 of 381 statewide, top 4%, 2,053 students, 9% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 189 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,786 units permitted in Larimer County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
Larimer County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
13 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $225k; list at $350k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 2.9% in Loveland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-C1D35K6F906WFZ
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29