3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,648 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 81 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,345/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$855
Tax + insurance
−$300
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$282
Net cashflow
$-93/mo
Annual
$-1,111/yr
Cap rate
5.61%
Cash-on-cash
-2.43%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$45,640
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $163k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-93 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $147k (10.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $134k (17.5% below list).
It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($153k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $134k (17.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#268 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D, commute F.
Borger ISD (town): math 43% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #348 of 826 in TX (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Gateway El (372 students, 64% FRL); Borger Middle (math 50% / reading 45%, grade C-, #408 of 1,662 statewide, top 25%, 381 students, 59% FRL); Borger H S (math 27% / reading 49%, grade F, #880 of 1,632 statewide, top 54%, 761 students, 50% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 88 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Hutchinson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 19 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29