3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,947 sqft ·
Built 1890
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 102 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,058/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$236
Tax + insurance
−$119
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$222
Net cashflow
$481/mo
Annual
$5,769/yr
Cap rate
19.11%
Cash-on-cash
45.79%
DSCR
3.04
1% rule
2.35%
Cash to close
$12,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $481 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
It's been on market 102 days — a 9% lower offer ($41k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $41k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($311 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (2.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#670 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
Davis County Community School District (rural): math 59% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #236 of 289 in IA (top 82%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Davis County Elementary (math 62% / reading 57%, grade B-, #390 of 616 statewide, top 69%, 480 students, 48% FRL); Davis County Middle School (math 63% / reading 64%, grade B+, #169 of 246 statewide, top 69%, 356 students, 46% FRL); Davis County Community High School (math 51% / reading 65%, grade C, #275 of 336 statewide, top 83%, 408 students, 38% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Davis County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Davis County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (2.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 102 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-C1YE81543EWGZS
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29