3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,289 sqft ·
Built 1995
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 115 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,173/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,442
Tax + insurance
−$288
HOA
−$13
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$456
Net cashflow
$-26/mo
Annual
$-315/yr
Cap rate
6.18%
Cash-on-cash
-0.41%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$77,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-26 ($-315/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $270k (1.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $217k (21.0% below list).
It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($250k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $217k (21.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#38 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Lexington 05 (suburban): math 47% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #5 of 80 in SC (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: River Springs Elementary (math 56% / reading 56%, grade C+, #109 of 597 statewide, top 19%, 465 students, 39% FRL); Dutch Fork High (math 54% / reading 86%, grade B+, #58 of 196 statewide, top 30%, 1,726 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools average 45% FRL vs 27% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 63% at this address vs 51% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Lexington 05 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 318 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 3,472 units permitted in Richland County in 2024 (1,096 in 5+ unit buildings).
Richland County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $16k; list at $275k implies a 1567% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 59% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-C2N6EFAAZQN122
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29