4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,872 sqft ·
Built 1925
· Townhouse
· Active
· 35 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,972/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$939
Tax + insurance
−$376
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$414
Net cashflow
$244/mo
Annual
$2,923/yr
Cap rate
7.93%
Cash-on-cash
5.83%
DSCR
1.26
1% rule
1.10%
Cash to close
$50,120
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $179k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $244 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $179k).
It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($174k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $174k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#100 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: commute C-, employment D+, schools D.
New Albany-Floyd County Consolidated Schools (suburban): math 46% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #68 of 301 in IN (top 23%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.2%/yr); 269 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 297 units permitted in Floyd County in 2024 (84 in 5+ unit buildings).
Floyd County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.2% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.8% in New Albany — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-C2WDMQ845GC3J6
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29