4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,492 sqft ·
Built 1890
· Other
· Active
· 364 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,378/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$917
Tax + insurance
−$224
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$499
Net cashflow
$737/mo
Annual
$8,848/yr
Cap rate
11.35%
Cash-on-cash
18.07%
DSCR
1.80
1% rule
1.36%
Cash to close
$48,972
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $175k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $737 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
It's been on market 364 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $154k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (3.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#78 in VT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A-, housing B; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 185 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washington County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $50k; list at $175k implies a 250% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 364 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-C35W484SGNNEDP
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29