3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,256 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 44 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,214/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$314
Tax + insurance
−$225
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$255
Net cashflow
$420/mo
Annual
$5,044/yr
Cap rate
14.71%
Cash-on-cash
30.07%
DSCR
2.34
1% rule
2.03%
Cash to close
$16,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $420 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($414 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (5.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#734 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
Mount Markham Central School District (rural): math 47% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #393 of 590 in NY (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price.
Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 54 units permitted in Herkimer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Herkimer County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (5.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-C3ABXQE70TT9QW
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29