3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,716 sqft ·
Built 1995
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 104 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,439/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$959
Tax + insurance
−$220
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$512
Net cashflow
$747/mo
Annual
$8,964/yr
Cap rate
11.19%
Cash-on-cash
17.50%
DSCR
1.78
1% rule
1.33%
Cash to close
$51,226
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $183k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $747 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $183k).
It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($166k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $166k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#388 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, schools B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Mead School District (suburban): math 63% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #23 of 291 in WA (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 91 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,608 units permitted in Spokane County in 2024 (1,792 in 5+ unit buildings).
Spokane County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $27k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $125k; 46% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $51k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 2.3% in Mead — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-C4QBVN06R7ZKWM
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29