6 bd · 5.0 ba ·
5,078 sqft ·
Built 1890
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 311 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$16,931/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,608
Tax + insurance
−$1,940
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$3,556
Net cashflow
$7,828/mo
Annual
$93,931/yr
Cap rate
19.95%
Cash-on-cash
48.76%
DSCR
3.17
1% rule
2.46%
Cash to close
$192,640
Investor read
This is a 10 × 1-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $688k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $8k ($94k/yr) — positive. Per door: $783/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($17k rent vs $688k).
It's been on market 311 days — a 12% lower offer ($605k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $605k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#224 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Oakland Unified (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #1,007 of 1,400 in CA (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Horace Mann Elementary (192 students, 100% FRL); United For Success Academy Middle (370 students, 96% FRL); Fremont High (1,146 students, 97% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 68% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 146 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 54d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,742 units permitted in Alameda County in 2024 (856 in 5+ unit buildings).
Alameda County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.9% rent growth), your $193k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 19.9% vs local median 2.5% in Oakland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 311 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— The roof appears to be in poor condition, with visible wear and tear.
Major: exterior siding
— The exterior siding and paint show significant wear and tear, with peeling paint and discoloration.
Major: landscaping
— The landscaping appears overgrown and unkempt, with some dead plants and debris.
Major: fencing
— The fencing is in poor condition, with some sections appearing rusted and damaged.
CashFlowRE · CFR-C4W8BR627G6S3K
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29