66698 Colena Dr

Salome, AZ 85348

$105,000C

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 720 sqft · Built 1970 · Manufactured · Active · 183 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $909/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$551
• Tax + insurance: −$81
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$191
• Net cashflow: $86/mo
• Annual: $1,033/yr
• Cap rate: 7.28%
• Cash-on-cash: 3.51%
• DSCR: 1.16
• 1% rule: 0.87%
• Cash to close: $29,400

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $105k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $86 ($1k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $91k (13.5% below list).
• It's been on market 183 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $91k (13.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• In year one you build about $4k of equity ($726 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.1% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#76 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
• Bicentennial Union High School District (4515) (rural): math 0% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #448 of 501 in AZ (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: 136 active listings in the ZIP; 92 units permitted in La Paz County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• La Paz County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (3.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 4.3% in Salome — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 183 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.