1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
784 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 53 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$836/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$199
Tax + insurance
−$53
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$176
Net cashflow
$408/mo
Annual
$4,895/yr
Cap rate
19.17%
Cash-on-cash
46.00%
DSCR
3.05
1% rule
2.20%
Cash to close
$10,640
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $38k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $408 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($836 rent vs $38k).
It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($37k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $37k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $532 of equity ($263 loan paydown + $269 appreciation (0.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#307 in ND) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, housing D, health & safety D.
United 7 (rural): math 52% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #5 of 53 in ND (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 123 units permitted in Ward County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ward County population projected at +76% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (0.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-C5TCSXAN1A7T97
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29